Hayes & Yeading United vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hayes & Yeading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 0
HAY
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 0
HAY
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HAY
3 - 1
ALF
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
HAY
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
HAY
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 2
WRE
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 1
BAT
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 2
BRO
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 0
MAN
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |