Hawkes Bay United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
HAW
34%
23%
43%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HAW
3 - 3
EAS
27%
25%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 2
HAW
54%
22%
23%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 0
TAS
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
WEL
3 - 4
HAW
31%
22%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WAI
2 - 5
SOU
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 1
WAI
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
WAI
1 - 1
CAN
33%
24%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TAS
0 - 2
WAI
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
WAI
3 - 1
WEL
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |