Hawkes Bay United vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 1
WAN
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 0
HAW
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HAW
0 - 3
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
HAW
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WAI
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
6 - 3
WEL
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
3 - 1
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
WAN
2 - 0
WAI
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
WAI
0 - 2
CAN
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |