Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
6º
3º
51
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
3 - 0
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
HAV
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 0
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
HAV
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
HAV
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 0
ABE
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
0 - 0
PAN
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 3
TNS
44%
25%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 4
TNS
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TNS
0 - 0
PET
43%
22%
34%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |