Haverfordwest County vs Caernarfon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
11º
7º
25
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
4 - 2
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
HAV
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 6
HAV
15%
19%
66%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 1
CAE
7%
15%
78%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
FLI
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 1
CAE
63%
20%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
BAL
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |