Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 2
HAV
24%
25%
52%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 0
TNS
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
RHY
1 - 2
HAV
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 1
LLA
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAE
73%
17%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 2
RHY
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 0
ABE
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |