FA Cup . 1/256
Global 3-4
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 1
HAV
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HAV
0 - 5
SUT
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
WHI
2 - 2
HAV
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HAV
1 - 2
HAY
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
HAV
2 - 1
FAR
49%
22%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 1
HAV
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 0
GLO
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 3
BOS
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 2
BRA
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WOR
4 - 2
GLO
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |