Hastings United vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SEV
2 - 2
HAS
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HAS
1 - 0
HAY
68%
18%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HAS
3 - 0
RAM
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
WHY
0 - 1
HAS
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
HAS
5 - 1
EAS
86%
10%
5%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
CHI
44%
21%
35%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
GUE
2 - 3
HER
28%
21%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HER
0 - 1
BUR
68%
17%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 2
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
HER
3 - 0
WHI
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |