Hartley Wintney vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 2
YAT
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
4 - 3
HAR
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 1
TIV
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 0
WIL
45%
23%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
KIN
5 - 0
HAR
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 2
FOL
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LEW
3 - 0
FOL
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 4
FOL
16%
19%
66%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAV
76%
15%
8%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
5 - 0
FOL
34%
24%
43%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |