Hartley Wintney vs Daventry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
ABB
3 - 4
HAR
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 1
CLE
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TOW
1 - 5
HAR
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 2
HAR
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 0
CAM
75%
16%
10%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DAV
2 - 1
COR
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 4
DAV
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
DAV
2 - 0
EGH
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DAV
1 - 0
SUT
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
DAV
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |