Hartlepool United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
POS
4 - 0
HAR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 0
HAR
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
DAG
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WAT
4 - 1
HAR
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
3 - 0
HAR
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
CUM
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
NOT
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SUN
1 - 2
NOT
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
3 - 0
HAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 3
NOT
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |