Austrian Bundesliga Normal Season Round 22

TSV Hartberg vs LASK analysis

TSV Hartberg LASK
75 ELO 82
1.2% Tilt 13.6%
578º General ELO ranking 587º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.4%
TSV Hartberg
24.4%
Draw
48.2%
LASK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
TSV Hartberg
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.2%
Win probability
LASK
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSV Hartberg
+4%
+17%
LASK

Points and table prediction

TSV Hartberg
Their league position
LASK
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
11º
38
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Salzburg
55
55
100%
Sturm Graz
48
48
100%
LASK
38
38
100%
Austria Wien
32
35
100%
Rapid Wien
33
33
100%
Austria Klagenfurt
30
30
100%
WSG Tirol
28
28
100%
Austria Lustenau
27
27
100%
Wolfsberger AC
21
21
100%
SV Ried
11º
18
18
10º
0%
TSV Hartberg
10º
18
18
11º
0%
SCR Altach
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
TSV Hartberg
LASK
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

TSV Hartberg
LASK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
SKA
Austria Klagenfurt
1 - 0
TSV Hartberg
HAR
49%
23%
28%
75 77 2 0
04 Mar. 2023
HAR
TSV Hartberg
2 - 1
Wolfsberger AC
WOL
26%
24%
50%
74 81 7 +1
25 Feb. 2023
AUS
Austria Wien
3 - 0
TSV Hartberg
HAR
52%
23%
25%
75 80 5 -1
18 Feb. 2023
HAR
TSV Hartberg
1 - 2
Sturm Graz
STR
26%
25%
49%
75 82 7 0
12 Feb. 2023
RIE
SV Ried
0 - 1
TSV Hartberg
HAR
44%
25%
32%
74 76 2 +1

Matches

LASK
LASK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
LAS
LASK
0 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
42%
24%
35%
82 82 0 0
05 Mar. 2023
WAT
WSG Tirol
2 - 3
LASK
LAS
38%
25%
38%
82 78 4 0
24 Feb. 2023
LAS
LASK
1 - 0
Austria Lustenau
SCA
64%
20%
16%
82 70 12 0
18 Feb. 2023
RIE
SV Ried
1 - 1
LASK
LAS
28%
25%
47%
82 75 7 0
12 Feb. 2023
ALT
SCR Altach
0 - 1
LASK
LAS
18%
23%
59%
82 70 12 0