Harstad vs Mjølner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ETO
2 - 1
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
STR
58%
19%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 2
HAR
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 0
VAL
57%
20%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
STR
1 - 4
HAR
59%
20%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
MJO
2 - 0
HAS
58%
20%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
KJE
0 - 0
MJO
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MJO
0 - 2
TRO
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 2
MJO
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ALT
6 - 3
MJO
86%
10%
5%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |