Harstad vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
74.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
12º
4º
74
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
ELV
4 - 1
HAR
77%
14%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
6 - 1
HAM
40%
21%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 2
HAR
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 4
FLO
34%
22%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 3
HAR
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 4
HON
8%
16%
77%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HON
3 - 2
IFC
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 3
HON
17%
20%
63%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 0
ELV
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 4
HON
9%
17%
74%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |