Harrow Borough vs Dulwich Hamlet FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 1
FAR
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAM
2 - 2
HAR
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 2
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
HAR
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 0
HAR
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dulwich Hamlet FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DUL
4 - 0
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
DUL
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
HAM
2 - 1
DUL
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DUL
4 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
DUL
1 - 2
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |