Harrow Borough vs Burgess Hill Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 4
HAR
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NEE
0 - 1
HAR
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
TOO
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
6 - 0
LOW
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
LEI
3 - 0
HAR
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
STA
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 0
BUR
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEA
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 4
ENF
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
DUL
12%
19%
69%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | +2 |