Harrogate Railway vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GLO
5 - 1
HAR
82%
13%
5%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
BAM
5 - 0
HAR
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RAD
0 - 0
HAR
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
FAR
3 - 1
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SPE
6 - 1
KEN
75%
14%
11%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 2
TRA
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 1
SPE
12%
19%
69%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CLI
0 - 1
SPE
30%
22%
49%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 2
SPE
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |