Penn FC vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
PNN
3 - 0
TAM
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
PNN
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
PNN
0 - 0
NSC
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PNN
1 - 1
CHA
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 1
PNN
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 0
NYO
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 3
CIN
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
OTT
1 - 1
CAR
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PIT
1 - 0
OTT
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
5 - 0
OTT
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |