Harlow Town vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harlow Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
HAR
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HAR
4 - 1
ROM
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 3
HAR
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RED
1 - 2
HAR
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
WAR
2 - 2
HAR
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TIL
2 - 0
ILF
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TIL
2 - 1
WAL
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
TIL
3 - 3
ROM
29%
24%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 2
TIL
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
YEL
0 - 0
TIL
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |