Harland & Wolff Welders vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
5º
5º
36
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 9 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 8 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 8 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
HAR
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 0
LOU
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 1
DUN
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
HAR
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KNO
3 - 2
INS
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KNO
2 - 3
INS
33%
24%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
INS
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |