Harkemase Boys vs Oranje Nassau analysis


39	ELO	27
3.4%	Tilt	13.5%
3597º	General ELO ranking	20345º
66º	Country ELO ranking	238º
ELO win probability

72.5%

Harkemase Boys

16.6%

Draw

10.9%

Oranje Nassau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

72.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%

16.6%

Draw

0-0

3.9%

1-1

7.8%

2-2

3.9%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

16.6%

10.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+7%

-3%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Harkemase Boys

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Sep. 2006	HHC 5 - 2 HAR 46% 23% 31%	41	39	2	0
09 Sep. 2006	HAR 0 - 0 ONS 50% 23% 27%	41	40	1	0
02 Sep. 2006	DOS 0 - 4 HAR 26% 23% 51%	40	30	10	+1
26 Aug. 2006	HAR 0 - 4 ARG 29% 23% 49%	41	54	13	-1
13 May. 2006	HAR 5 - 0 DOS 70% 18% 12%	41	31	10	0