Harju JK Laagri vs Tallinna Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
7º
1º
42
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 0
HJP
16%
22%
61%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 1
FCT
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
6 - 0
PAI
79%
13%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 2
HJP
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
HJP
52%
22%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TKA
3 - 5
PAI
65%
17%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
5 - 2
TKA
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
3 - 1
TKA
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
TKA
0 - 1
TAB
57%
20%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
TKA
1 - 3
LEV
39%
23%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |