Harestanes vs Girvan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girvan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WHI
3 - 1
GIR
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 5
AUC
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
GIR
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
GIR
70%
17%
12%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
STR
4 - 2
GIR
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |