Hard vs WSG Tirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
59.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 0
SCH
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
WAT
4 - 0
HAR
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 7
KUF
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ANI
4 - 0
HAR
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 1
PIN
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
WSG Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 1
STR
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
WAT
4 - 0
HAR
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
FCW
0 - 4
WAT
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
WAT
3 - 0
SVA
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
TSV
0 - 3
WAT
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |