Hard vs St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 2
HAR
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
SCH
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ANI
7 - 0
HAR
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
SCR
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
KIT
1 - 0
HAR
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STJ
1 - 2
HOH
51%
22%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 0
STJ
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
STJ
1 - 3
SEE
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 1
STJ
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
STJ
4 - 1
FCW
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |