Hard vs St. Johann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
USC
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KUF
3 - 1
HAR
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
FCW
42%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 0
HAR
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
SCR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STJ
2 - 0
SCH
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
USC
1 - 1
STJ
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
STJ
4 - 0
TSV
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
KUF
1 - 2
STJ
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
STJ
3 - 0
SWB
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |