Hard vs Seekirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
HAR
5 - 3
KUF
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BLA
2 - 3
HAR
22%
22%
57%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
HAR
9 - 3
HOH
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SPG
5 - 2
HAR
31%
22%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Seekirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
FCW
1 - 5
SEE
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SEE
1 - 1
SPG
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 0
SEE
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SEE
4 - 2
KUF
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
SEE
4 - 1
TSV
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |