Hard vs Schwarzach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ASK
0 - 0
HAR
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
HAR
1 - 0
BLA
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
KUF
2 - 1
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
HAR
4 - 0
PUC
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
WAT
1 - 2
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Schwarzach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
REI
4 - 1
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2001 |
SCH
0 - 0
SAL
35%
26%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
NEN
0 - 0
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
SCH
4 - 2
KUN
31%
25%
43%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
SCH
0 - 8
HOH
38%
26%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |