Hard vs Kundl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
ALT
2 - 2
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
HAR
3 - 0
RBJ
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
HAR
2 - 3
HAL
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VIB
1 - 5
HAR
17%
22%
62%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
HAR
5 - 0
SCH
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Kundl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
KUN
1 - 3
HOH
41%
24%
34%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
REI
2 - 0
KUN
58%
21%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
SAL
1 - 2
KUN
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
KUN
2 - 1
NEN
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
KUN
1 - 5
WAT
15%
20%
66%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |