Hard vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STJ
1 - 0
HAR
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 0
PIN
49%
22%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +4 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 2
HAR
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
FCH
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
KUF
4 - 1
HAR
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
KIT
1 - 1
STJ
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
KIT
0 - 2
WAT
16%
19%
64%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 3
KIT
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
KIT
3 - 1
DOR
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCH
0 - 0
KIT
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |