Hard vs FC Hörbranz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
18.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
8º
4º
56
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HIT
1 - 3
HAR
8%
14%
78%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
HAR
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
5 - 1
FCH
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
SCF
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
2 - 5
HAR
26%
21%
54%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hörbranz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCH
3 - 2
FCH
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
0 - 1
FCH
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
5 - 5
FCH
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCH
2 - 0
AUS
46%
21%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 1
FCH
19%
19%
63%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |