Harbour View vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOY
2 - 0
HAR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
TRI
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
HAR
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 1
REN
62%
24%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
HIG
3 - 0
HAR
31%
29%
41%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 1
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 0
BOY
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TRI
3 - 0
WAT
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 1
MON
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
REN
0 - 1
WAT
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |