Jamaica League Normal Season Round 11

Harbour View vs Montego Bay United analysis

Harbour View Montego Bay United
67 ELO 57
-6.5% Tilt -9.8%
3923º General ELO ranking 2016º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.2%
Harbour View
23.1%
Draw
15.7%
Montego Bay United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
Harbour View
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.7%
Win probability
Montego Bay United
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Harbour View
-2%
+5%
Montego Bay United

Points and table prediction

Harbour View
Their league position
Montego Bay United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
26
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Arnett Gardens
52
55
100%
Cavalier
49
50
100%
Mount Pleasant
46
47
100%
Harbour View
43
46
66%
Humble Lions
41
42
43%
Waterhouse
41
42
44.5%
Dunbeholden
38
39
61%
Portmore United
38
38
70%
Molynes United
31
31
100%
Montego Bay United
10º
26
27
10º
100%
Tivoli Gardens
11º
22
22
11º
86.5%
Vere Phoenix United
12º
20
20
12º
86.5%
Chapelton Maroons
14º
9
15
13º
100%
Faulkland SC
13º
13
13
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Harbour View
Montego Bay United
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Harbour View
Montego Bay United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Harbour View
Harbour View
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2023
MOL
Molynes United
0 - 0
Harbour View
HAR
34%
27%
38%
67 55 12 0
08 Jan. 2023
HAR
Harbour View
0 - 4
Waterhouse
WAT
47%
28%
25%
68 66 2 -1
03 Jan. 2023
POR
Portmore United
1 - 0
Harbour View
HAR
31%
29%
40%
69 64 5 -1
26 Dec. 2022
HAR
Harbour View
1 - 1
Cavalier
CAV
38%
28%
34%
69 71 2 0
22 Dec. 2022
TRI
Tivoli Gardens
1 - 1
Harbour View
HAR
42%
27%
31%
69 66 3 0

Matches

Montego Bay United
Montego Bay United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2023
FSC
Faulkland SC
0 - 1
Montego Bay United
MON
53%
25%
22%
57 60 3 0
08 Jan. 2023
MON
Montego Bay United
0 - 2
Dunbeholden
DFC
23%
26%
51%
57 68 11 0
01 Jan. 2023
MPA
Mount Pleasant
5 - 1
Montego Bay United
MON
66%
21%
13%
58 71 13 -1
28 Dec. 2022
MON
Montego Bay United
1 - 1
Chapelton Maroons
CMF
37%
27%
36%
58 63 5 0
21 Dec. 2022
VER
Vere Phoenix United
0 - 0
Montego Bay United
MON
37%
29%
33%
58 57 1 0