Harborough Town vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 2
COL
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 0
HAR
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BED
0 - 1
HAR
16%
18%
66%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
HAR
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LYE
1 - 2
HAR
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
2 - 0
BOL
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 0
BIG
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
YAX
0 - 4
SHE
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
COA
2 - 0
SHE
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 1
COA
12%
19%
70%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +2 |