Non League Div One Northern Midlands. Jor. 27

Harborough Town vs Bedworth United analysis

Harborough Town Bedworth United
46 ELO 22
-2.2% Tilt -0.2%
4397º General ELO ranking 9325º
166º Country ELO ranking 513º
ELO win probability
83.3%
Harborough Town
12.2%
Draw
4.4%
Bedworth United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
Harborough Town
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.5%
Win probability
Bedworth United
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Harborough Town
+33%
+84%
Bedworth United

Points and table prediction

Harborough Town
Their league position
Bedworth United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
91
20º
51
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harborough Town
91
91
100%
Spalding United
89
89
100%
Anstey Nomads
88
88
100%
Hinckley LR
70
70
100%
Quorn
66
66
100%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
62
62
100%
Lye Town
61
61
100%
Corby Town
56
56
100%
Bedworth United
51
51
0%
Sutton Coldfield Town
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Walsall Wood
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Sporting Khalsa
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Boldmere St. Michaels
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Shepshed
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Coleshill Town FC
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Coventry Sphinx
16º
32
32
16º
0%
Cambridge City
17º
32
32
17º
0%
Rugby Town
18º
32
32
18º
0%
Rushden & Diamonds
19º
32
32
19º
0%
Gresley
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Harborough Town
Bedworth United
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Harborough Town
Bedworth United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Harborough Town
Harborough Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
HAR
Harborough Town
4 - 0
Gresley
GRE
83%
12%
5%
47 21 26 0
13 Jan. 2024
HAR
Harborough Town
4 - 0
Shepshed
SHE
79%
15%
7%
47 27 20 0
10 Jan. 2024
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
0 - 4
Harborough Town
HAR
32%
25%
43%
46 40 6 +1
01 Jan. 2024
HAR
Harborough Town
2 - 1
Rugby Town
RUG
75%
16%
9%
46 28 18 0
26 Dec. 2023
RUS
Rushden & Diamonds
0 - 4
Harborough Town
HAR
7%
17%
76%
46 19 27 0

Matches

Bedworth United
Bedworth United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2024
BED
Bedworth United
0 - 1
Walsall Wood
WAL
13%
19%
68%
23 37 14 0
20 Jan. 2024
BED
Bedworth United
1 - 1
Boldmere St. Michaels
BOL
15%
20%
65%
23 37 14 0
13 Jan. 2024
BED
Bedworth United
2 - 2
Rushden & Diamonds
RUS
64%
21%
16%
23 16 7 0
06 Jan. 2024
LER
Hinckley LR
2 - 1
Bedworth United
BED
72%
18%
10%
24 38 14 -1
01 Jan. 2024
BED
Bedworth United
1 - 0
Coventry Sphinx
COV
14%
19%
67%
22 34 12 +2
X