UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 7-2
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 4
HBS
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
POG
1 - 1
HBS
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
LPO
2 - 1
HBS
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
KOR
0 - 1
HBS
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
HBS
6 - 1
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 4
HBS
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
FHT
0 - 13
FLO
1%
2%
97%
|
78 | 28 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
AIK
1 - 0
FLO
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
OTA
0 - 16
FLO
1%
2%
97%
|
78 | 14 | 64 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 3
FLO
9%
17%
74%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |