Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 3-2
Hannover 96 vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCN
1 - 2
HAN
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
HAN
2 - 1
HOF
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
ANK
0 - 6
HAN
7%
17%
76%
|
82 | 27 | 55 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HAN
3 - 1
FCN
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
STU
2 - 1
HAN
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
SEV
26%
25%
50%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 2
SEV
29%
25%
46%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
SEV
5 - 0
ESP
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CCF
1 - 4
SEV
18%
22%
61%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
XER
0 - 3
SEV
21%
23%
57%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |