Hannover 96 vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SGF
2 - 3
HAN
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HAN
1 - 6
BYM
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SCF
3 - 1
HAN
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HAN
0 - 0
STU
46%
24%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AUG
0 - 2
HAN
26%
25%
50%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
M05
0 - 0
EIN
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BVB
2 - 0
M05
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
M05
1 - 2
HSV
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCN
2 - 1
M05
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
M05
1 - 1
BRE
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |