Hamrun Spartans vs Msida St Joseph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 3
VAL
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
QOR
1 - 4
HAM
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 0
MSI
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
HAM
2 - 3
MAR
23%
20%
57%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
BIR
3 - 2
HAM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
MSI
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MSI
0 - 3
SLI
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 0
MSI
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MSI
0 - 2
VAL
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
QOR
0 - 1
MSI
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |