Malta League Relegation Round Round 5

Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta analysis

Hamrun Spartans Mosta
54 ELO 48
1.7% Tilt 3.7%
1674º General ELO ranking 1704º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.9%
Hamrun Spartans
22.2%
Draw
19.9%
Mosta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
Hamrun Spartans
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.9%
Win probability
Mosta
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamrun Spartans
+9%
-20%
Mosta

ELO progression

Hamrun Spartans
Mosta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2003
HAM
Hamrun Spartans
0 - 0
Floriana FC
FLO
39%
26%
35%
53 60 7 0
05 Apr. 2003
HAM
Hamrun Spartans
1 - 1
Marsa FC
MAR
48%
24%
28%
53 54 1 0
09 Mar. 2003
HAM
Hamrun Spartans
3 - 1
Mosta
MOS
56%
23%
22%
53 50 3 0
16 Feb. 2003
FLO
Floriana FC
1 - 1
Hamrun Spartans
HAM
61%
22%
18%
52 61 9 +1
02 Feb. 2003
MAR
Marsaxlokk FC
1 - 3
Hamrun Spartans
HAM
60%
22%
19%
50 58 8 +2

Matches

Mosta
Mosta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2003
MAR
Marsa FC
5 - 1
Mosta
MOS
58%
22%
20%
50 54 4 0
18 Mar. 2003
FLO
Floriana FC
1 - 1
Mosta
MOS
64%
21%
16%
49 60 11 +1
09 Mar. 2003
HAM
Hamrun Spartans
3 - 1
Mosta
MOS
56%
23%
22%
50 53 3 -1
23 Feb. 2003
MOS
Mosta
0 - 1
Marsa FC
MAR
44%
24%
32%
51 53 2 -1
26 Jan. 2003
MOS
Mosta
0 - 5
Marsa FC
MAR
50%
24%
27%
52 51 1 -1