Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
FLO
4 - 1
HAM
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 1
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MSI
2 - 2
HAM
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
HAM
0 - 1
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PIE
4 - 0
HAM
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
HIB
2 - 1
BIR
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SLI
0 - 0
HIB
57%
21%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 4
HIB
44%
25%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
HIB
2 - 4
FLO
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BAL
1 - 0
HIB
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |