Hamrun Spartans vs Dingli Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FLO
4 - 2
HAM
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
HAM
3 - 1
TAR
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
4 - 0
HAM
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 2
BAL
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
MQA
2 - 3
HAM
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dingli Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
DIN
3 - 0
ZAB
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PIE
1 - 0
DIN
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DIN
0 - 2
SGC
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
4 - 0
DIN
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DIN
0 - 1
RAB
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |