Hamrun Spartans vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
MSI
0 - 1
HAM
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
HAM
2 - 3
PIE
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
HAM
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
HAM
0 - 3
SLI
19%
22%
60%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MQA
1 - 2
HAM
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 1
MSI
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
PIE
2 - 1
BIR
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SLI
0 - 2
BIR
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
BIR
1 - 0
MQA
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |