HamKam vs Valerenga IF analysis


68	ELO	74
1.5%	Tilt	16.2%
910º	General ELO ranking	378º
16º	Country ELO ranking	7º
ELO win probability

35%

HamKam

26.3%

Draw

38.7%

Valerenga IF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%

26.3%

Draw

0-0

7.3%

1-1

12.5%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.3%

38.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-6%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

11º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

34

3º

16º

11º

29

6º

15º

14º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

14º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	70	70	1º	100%
2º	61	61	2º	0%
3º	61	61	3º	0%
4º	58	58	4º	100%
5º	51	51	5º	100%
6º	43	43	6º	100%
7º	42	42	7º	100%
8º	41	41	8º	100%
9º	39	39	9º	100%
10º	38	38	10º	100%
11º	34	34	11º	100%
12º	33	33	12º	100%
13º	31	31	13º	100%
14º	29	29	14º	100%
15º	29	29	15º	100%
16º	18	18	16º	100%

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Expected probabilities

Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r	0%	0%
Conference League knock out round	0%	0%
Mid-table	100%	0%
Europa League qualifying phase	0%	0%
Relegation play-offs	0%	100%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HamKam

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 Nov. 2023	STR 0 - 1 HAM 53% 23% 24%	68	71	3	0
04 Nov. 2023	HAM 3 - 0 VKG 15% 21% 64%	66	80	14	+2
29 Oct. 2023	ODD 2 - 0 HAM 51% 24% 25%	66	72	6	0
22 Oct. 2023	HAM 0 - 3 HAU 45% 27% 28%	67	68	1	-1
08 Oct. 2023	SDF 0 - 1 HAM 38% 25% 37%	67	66	1	0

Matches

Valerenga IF

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 Nov. 2023	VIF 0 - 0 STB 56% 23% 22%	73	67	6	0
05 Nov. 2023	S08 3 - 2 VIF 52% 24% 24%	73	75	2	0
29 Oct. 2023	VIF 1 - 3 RBK 32% 25% 43%	73	77	4	0
22 Oct. 2023	LSK 2 - 0 VIF 47% 26% 27%	74	76	2	-1
08 Oct. 2023	VIF 1 - 2 BBS 26% 24% 50%	74	80	6	0