Hamilton United vs Simcoe County Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
10º
12º
12º
34
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
98% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 29 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
ALI
21%
19%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
OBD
2 - 0
HAM
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 5
VAZ
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 1
HAM
74%
15%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SIG
1 - 0
HAM
57%
20%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Simcoe County Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SIM
5 - 0
OBD
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 2
SIM
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
SIM
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 1
SIG
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 1
HAM
74%
15%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |