Newcastle Olympic vs South Cardiff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
HAM
0 - 0
VAL
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 0
WES
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
WBE
2 - 0
HAM
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
HAM
5 - 2
LAK
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 2
HAM
25%
23%
51%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
South Cardiff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 1
EDG
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
BRO
3 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
WBE
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 3
WES
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
SOU
19%
22%
60%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |