Newcastle Olympic vs Lake Macquarie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
1.9%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
10º
7º
4
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 46 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 44 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
90.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 7 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
HAM
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
EDG
1 - 1
HAM
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
LAM
33%
23%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
MAI
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NLE
1 - 2
HAM
5%
12%
83%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
LAK
1 - 4
CHU
5%
11%
85%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
LAK
0 - 6
MAI
4%
10%
86%
|
5 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NLE
3 - 0
LAK
52%
20%
28%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
LAK
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LAK
0 - 4
WBE
6%
14%
80%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | -1 |