Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
5º
2º
56
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
HAM
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STI
2 - 2
HAM
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 0
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EDI
0 - 3
HAM
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KHE
0 - 2
HAM
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 0
COV
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 4
FAL
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KHE
2 - 1
ALL
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALL
0 - 1
STI
31%
27%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
QOS
3 - 4
ALL
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |