Hamburger SV vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
F95
0 - 0
HSV
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
EBT
2 - 4
HSV
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
HSV
5 - 0
OSN
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 1
HSV
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
HSV
3 - 1
SSV
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 1
HOL
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
WUR
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 1
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
ERZ
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
F95
2 - 1
PAD
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |