Hamburger SV vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SSV
2 - 1
HSV
28%
25%
48%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HSV
6 - 2
VFF
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HEI
2 - 2
HSV
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
HSV
1 - 0
SGD
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
HSV
1 - 0
FCN
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
SGF
0 - 0
HEI
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HOL
2 - 2
SGF
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SGF
1 - 0
MSV
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PAD
6 - 0
SGF
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
SGF
0 - 1
ING
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |